Northeastern Illinois University, Department of Earth Science
Homework #9 Sanders
This assignment is due November 29, 2001.
1. Collect data on peak discharge for your gage for all the years on record.
2. Rank order the discharges.
3. Calculate recurrence interval (R) for each discharge by using
the formula R = (N + 1) / M,
where N = the number of years of records and
M = the rank of any given discharge.
4. Calculate probability (p) for each discharge using the formula p = 1/R.
5. Construct a probability graph of discharge versus probability.
Use the graph paper provided.
With the holes at the top, use the upper
scale (not the lower scale!) for
the probability x-axis
(the correct, upper scale begins with
99.99 on the left, and ends with 0.01 on the right). Remember
that the probabilities are percentages--so
99.99 means 99.99%, 50 means 50%, and 0.01
means 0.01% (not 1%!)
Bring the tabulated data and the graph to class on November 29.
Last updated November 16, 2001.