POPULATION
PROBLEMS
G&ES 446M Spring 2003
Meeting times Wed. 7:05 - 9:45 S-144
except when meeting in either Smart Classroom, or G&ES Lab, Student
Lab, Science or Classroom Building -- as announced in advance
Required Text: Population, and Introduction to Concepts and Issues,
Weeks (Eighth Edition: 0534529763) Wadsworth: Belmont, CA 1999.
Find a good price here or here.
Students in this seminar course will study the major population issues
of today on global and regional scales. Topics will include distribution
of people, population structures, theories, trends, and policies intended
to influence the three fundamental parameters: fertility rates, death rates,
and migration. Students will also study environmental constraints to population
growth, and the impact of growth on the natural environment. The
text will be supplemented by current readings both in the form of handouts
and web sites which are listed at the end of this syllabus. Readings in
the text are required. Other reading is required but will be chosen by
the student from sources available. Students should come to class well-read
and prepared to participate in discussions, and lead discussion on one
topic. Grading will be as follows:
Assignments and weights for grading Subject
to change
Four Essay quzzes . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . .20%
Paper
Outline . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
.5%
First Draft . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
5%
Second Draft. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
10%
Critique of peer's draft. . . . . . . . . .
5%
Final Paper . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
20%
Population Projection . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25%
Class participation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10%
Other (see note)
Essay Quizzes
Four unannounced essay quizzes will be given during the term -- either
in-class or take-home, closed- or open-booked. These quizzes will
be based on the text chapters, and will be graded on the quality and organization
of the response.
Paper
A 15-20 page paper (plus figures and references) on a topic directly
related to a population issue (e.g., growth, decline, distribution, structure)
will be developed through the term. At each stage the paper
will be graded. The final product will be a well organized, topical, thoroughly
researched, carefully cited, nicely written piece of scholarship. Also
see the detailed handout:
Paper Assignment.
Population Projection
Each student will develop a population forecast with a high, low, and
intermediate projection for a country, county, city, or place. The
projections will incorporate carefully researched estimates of Fertility
Rates, Death Rates, Life Expectancy, Migration, and other parameters for
the selected area. A short paper, graphs, and pyramids will be produced.
Also see the detailed handout:
Projection Assignment.
Discussion Leadership
Each student will choose one topic on which to assist the instructor
in leadership of the evening's presentation and discussion.
Attendance
Because the class meets weekly and involves discussion, attendance
is required. Absences may be excused in advance. More than three excused
absences is too many and may affect one's grade.
Other
Other assignments, quizzes, or exercises may be introduced, at 5% each.
If so, all assignments will be scaled down proportionately.
SCHEDULE -- Students will
be expected, as assignned, to read at least one chapter of the textbook
thoroughly and also supplementary articles on the week's topic in advance
of each class. The instructor may distribute selected articles, and
relevant web sites are organized by category at the bottom of
this syllabus.
Holidays affecting this class: Wednesday Feb. 12 Abraham Lincoln's Birthday
Week 1
Overview of Course
Overview of Textbook
Chapter 1: Introduction to the World's Population
-
population growth historically
-
distribution, redistribution
-
world regions, variations
Week 2
Chapter 2: Demographic Resources
-
censuses
-
sampling
-
vital Statistics
-
other sources
-
GIS
Week 3
Chapter 3: Demographic Perspectives
-
Malthusian
-
Marxist
-
Demographic Transition
-
Change and Response
-
Relative Income
-
paper outline due, in duplicate
Week 4
Chapter 4: Mortality
-
longevity
-
diseases, causes of death
-
measuring mortality
-
epidemiological transition
-
differentials in mortality
-
urban/rural
-
gender
-
age
-
social status
Week 5
Chapter 5: Fertility Concepts and Measurements
-
biological/social factors
-
fertility controls
-
measuring fertility
and
Chapter 6: Fertility Trends, Levels, and Explanations
-
fertility transition
-
explanations of high fertility
-
explanations of low fertility
-
high- and low- fertility countries
Week 6
Plan population projections
Discuss papers
Week 7
Chapter 7: Migration
-
defining and mesauring migration
-
reasons for migration
-
forced migration
-
migration patterns worldwide
Week 8
Chapter 8: Age and Sex Structure
-
population pyramids
-
impact of migration, fertility, mortality
-
influence of age/gender structure on population dynamics
-
population momentum and projections
-
Discuss population projections
Week 9
Population Projections -- in-class work on assignment
Week 10
Chapter 9: Population and Aging
-
definition of aging
-
biological and social aspects of aging
-
age structure and gender
effects of aging population
and
Chapter 10: Family Demography and Life Chances
-
household composition
-
determinants of household structure
-
shifts in household composition
Week 11
Chapter 11: The Urban Transition
-
definition and history of urbanization
-
rural-to-urban migration
-
international migration and natural increase
-
theories of urban transition
-
urbanization and the human condition
-
second draft of paper due, in duplicate
Week 12
Chapter 12: Population Growth and Development
-
definition of economic development
-
population growth and economic development
Week 13
Chapter 13: Population Growth, Food, and the Environment
-
agricultural and industrial revolutions
-
environmental concepts and definitions
-
carrying capacity
-
increasing food supply
-
population and environmental degredation
Week 14
Chapter 14: Population Policy
-
types of population policies
-
influencing mortality
-
influencing fertility
-
influencing migration
-
engineering social change
-
world population conferences
-
case studies
Week 15
Chapter 15: Demographics
-
Geographic Information Systems
-
business planning
-
social planning
-
political planning